CONSIDER THIS: Africans are dying at the rate of one every ten seconds. That amounts to 360 AIDS-related deaths every hour, 2,640 every day, 3 million every year. Within seven years, the United Nations estimates Africa will have more than 42 million orphans, half of them because of AIDS.

South Africa: According to the UN South African Human Development Report 2000, nearly half of all South Africans live in poverty. 18 million South Africans live below the poverty line - the equivalent of 3 million households living off R353 a month. Close to 30% of the Western Cape's population lives in poverty.60% of those who speak an African first language live in poverty, compared to 1% of whites.

AIDS: South Africa has the largest number of people living with HIV/AIDS in the world, as well as one of the world's fastest-growing epidemics. Already, 1 in 4 South African women between ages 20 and 29 are infected with the virus, and there are an estimated 1600 new infections daily in South Africa. In 10 years, South Africa's GDP is expected to shrink 17%. There are currently 12 million orphans in South Africa, and by 2010, there will be 40 million.

OIL: Nigeria is the 5th largest exporter of oil to the United States, and a top-ten exporter worldwide. Profits from oil exploration have attracted the military and, rather than being a blessing, oil is seen by many Nigerians as a curse. In its 39 years of independence, Nigeria has been ruled by its military for 30 years.

CONFLICT: In the year 2000, over half the countries in Africa and 20% of the population were affected by conflict. There were eleven major conflicts with more than a thousand war related deaths a year. The extent of conflict was greater than in any other region in the world. The spread of future conflicts continues to threaten the political and economic stability of many nations in the subcontinent.

 

 
   
 

AND DID YOU KNOW?

  • By 2025, 12 more African countries will join the 13 that are already suffering from water stress or water scarcity.
  • Nigeria is the most populous African nation in the world, with 133.8 million people (one fifth of the entire African population), and over 250 tribes.
  • In 2004, Nigeria ranked 2nd in least amount of government spending on education, and it ranked 3rd in countries contributing troops to UN peacekeeping missions.
  • 90% of all malaria cases are in sub-Saharan Africa. 3,000 children under the age of five die each day from malaria in Africa. Malaria control and lost labor days cost African nations 1-5% of total GDP. Africa would have been an estimated US $100 billion better off in 1999 if malaria had been eliminated years ago.
 
 

WANT TO LEARN MORE?

Suggested Reading:
Nelson Mandela, Long Walk to Freedom, Holt Rinehart & Winston: September 2000.

Rian Malan, My Traitor's Heart. Grove Press: April 2000.

Thompson, Leonard. A History of South Africa. Yale University Press: 2001.

UNESCO General History of Africa. Volume VIII.

Jedrzej Georg Frynas, Oil in Nigeria: Conflict and Litigation Between Oil Companies and Village Communities , Lit Verlag: April 2000

Tony Barnett and Alan Whiteside, "AIDS in the Twenty-First Century: Disease and Globalization" Palgrave Macmillan; August 16, 2003

Websites

www.bbc.co.uk/worldservice/africa/features/storyofafrica/index.shtml

www.fordham.edu/halsall/africa/africasbook.html

www.uiowa.edu/%7Eafricart/toc/countries.html

www.pbs.org/wonders/

www.winne.com/nigeria/cr00.html

 



SEVEN FUTURES identifies and analyzes the driving forces of change shaping seven distinct geographical regions out to the year 2025 and beyond. How will leaders from within these regions and within other countries respond? Seven Futures challenges leadership across the world to think seriously about events that are over the horizon and outside their borders. SEVEN FUTURES is directed by Erik R. Peterson, Senior Vice President, William A. Schreyer Chair in Global Analysis, and Director, Global Strategy Institute at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). To bring SEVEN FUTURES to a city near you, contact Laura Keating at lKeating@csis.org.   Technical Questions? (c) 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004.